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10 April 2014

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21 Maret 2014

Preview Chelsea vs Arsenal 22 Mar 2014

Preview Chelsea vs Arsenal 22 Mar 2014 - Prediksi Chelsea vs Arsenal 22 Maret 2014Prediksi Chelsea vs ArsenalBursa Taruhan Skor Bola Chelsea vs Arsenal - Liga Inggris Chelsea vs Arsenal – Arsene Wenger takes charge of Arsenal for the 1,000th time when they visit Chelsea this weekend.

Prediksi Chelsea vs Arsenal

Come Saturday, Chelsea are set to host Arsenal at the opulent Stamford Bridge, in what promises to be a nerve-racking London derby, as the race for the premier league crown gathers pace. Chelsea’s slip up against Aston Villa, meant Arsenal reduced the gap at the top to four points,following their win over Tottenham, with a game in hand. In arguably the biggest game of the title run-in to date, the Gunners will try to cut the gap on the table-topping Blues to one point on Saturday afternoon.

The Blues have been dominant at Stamford Bridge throughout the season, and are yet to drop points against the “Big Four” at home. The self proclaimed ‘Special One’ boasts an unbeaten record against Wenger in all competitions, and would look to extend the winning streak over his French counterpart. On the other hand, the Arsenal boss would be hoping his side replicates their performance at White Hart Lane, Prediksi Manchester City vs Fulham and reflect a first defeat for Chelsea at Stamford Bridge under Mourinho’s tutelage. Throughout his 18-year reign, Wenger has overseen three Premier League championship wins and four FA Cup successes, and victory at Stamford Bridge would vastly improve his chances of adding to that and ending Arsenal's eight-year trophy drought.

His opposite number, though, remains unbeaten in 75 home league matches as Chelsea boss, although the Champions League quarter-finalists did suffer a 1-0 defeat to Aston Villa in their last outing. Prediksi Cardiff City vs Liverpool The hosts will be without the suspended duo of one-named Brazilians Ramires and Willian, both of whom saw red at Villa Park much to the dismay of Jose Mourinho, who was also sent off by referee Chris Foy.

Arsenal centre-back Laurent Koscielny, who produced an immense display last weekend to thwart former Gunner Emmanuel Adebayor in the North London derby, will likely have Samuel Eto'o to contend with. Prediksi West Ham vs Man United The Cameroonian striker, who turned 33 last week, has netted in each of his last two games and has made a habit of scoring important goals against the division's other top sides this season.

Nemanja Matic, who is ineligible for European competition, will return to fill the void left by Ramires and could be joined in midfield by both Frank Lampard and David Luiz, with Mourinho having favoured a more cautious approach against Chelsea's title rivals so far this campaign.

Injury won't deny Ashley Cole the chance to face the club he left to sign for the Blues, but Cesar Azpilicueta will. Cole is fit again following a knee problem, but will only be among the home substitutes.

Wenger heads into his landmark match without four of his most senior figures. The sidelined Aaron Ramsey, Mesut Ozil, Theo Walcott and Jack Wilshere will all miss Arsenal's game with their capital rivals.

The visitors could name the same starting XI that beat Tottenham Hotspur last Sunday, although Mathieu Flamini could be picked instead of Lukas Podolski if Wenger feels an extra midfielder is needed.

Chelsea :
The Blues are on the back of three successive wins at home, including a 4-0 rout of Tottenham in their last home game. Chelsea would look to get their title bid back on track without the services of Willian and Ramires, who were sent off at Villa Park. Andre Schurrle and Frank Lampard are expected to slot in for the suspended Brazilian duo.

David Luiz has recovered from his groin niggle, however Ashley Cole’s return date is still unknown. Marco Van Ginkel has resumed full training, but is not expected to feature against Arsenal. Samuel Eto’o has been in goal-scoring form lately, and is expected to start ahead of Fernando Torres.

Arsenal :
The Gunners would be high on confidence going into Saturday’s encounter, following their victory against Tottenham in an evenly contested North-London derby. Wenger’s tactical shift of playing Rosicky down the right, paid rich dividends, as the Czech international netted the winner. Oxlade-Chamberlain is expected to shrug off his calf injury and take his place in the starting line-up.

With Ramsey still absent due to injury, Cazorla is likely to partner Mikel Arteta, with Lukas Podolski slotting in on the left, as Arsenal look to deploy a 5 man midfield to negate Chelsea’s counter attacking system. Ozil, Wilshere and Walcott remain long term absentees. Prediksi Chievo vs AS Roma

Recent form

Chelsea : WLWWDW

Arsenal : WDWLWL

Possible starting lineups

Chelsea : Cech; Ivanovic, Terry, Cahill, Azpilicueta; Matic, Luiz, Lampard; Hazard, Schurrle, Eto'o

Arsenal : Szczesny; Sagna, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Gibbs; Arteta, Oxlade-Chamberlain; Rosicky, Cazorla, Podolski, Giroud

Prediksi Chelsea vs Arsenal 22 Maret 2014 : 3-0

02 April 2013

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30 Mei 2011

Trading System

Bisakah saya meng-copy Trading System (TS) yg sudah jadi ?

Ini adalah pertanyaan yg sering ditanyakan oleh Trader Pemula (seperti
saya). Apalagi TS nya sudah terbukti berhasil dengan baik di masa lalu,
seperti Turtle System, Chandelier System, dll. Kan enak kita tinggal
meng-copy paste, TS tsb dan mengalirlah CUAN ke rekening saya . Inilah
impian banyak Trader yg sering disebut dengan HOLY GRAIL (HG). Banyak Trader
yg TERUS MENERUS mencari HG sepanjang hayatnya . Dan seperti ditulis di
banyak buku oleh penulis /trader senior seperti Alexander Elder dan Van K
Tharp; jawabnya TIDAK AKAN PERNAH DITEMUKAN. Mengapa ? Saya akan membahasnya
dengan mengaitkan dgn QTS , tapi ini pendapat pribadi ya .

1. PROFIL TRADER. Dari sini akan didapat bahwa sifat trader terhadap
resiko itu berlainan. Ada yg tipe menghindari resiko, moderat, dan berani.
Nah dari sini saja akan terlihat bawa Trader yg Objektif akan melihat Resiko
dr TS yg dipilih. Bila menggunakan metoda QTS akan terlihat ketika dilakukan
BackTest (BT) antara lain dgn komponen MDD ,yaitu penurunan maximal terhadap
Equity. Jadi kalau modal awal kita Rp. 100 juta , lalu stlh 3 bln meningkat
menjadi Rp. 150 juta dan menjadi Rp. 75 juta pada bulan berikutnya berarti
MDD nya 50%. Walaupun pada akhir tahun naik laig . Siapkah mental /emosi
kita bila modal kita menjadi setengahnya ? Bagi penghindar resiko tentu
saja tidak mau mengambil TS seperti itu, MDD yg dapat ditolelir TANPA
MEMBUATNYA MULES , STRESS, dan INSOMNIA mungkin dibawah 15%. Sebaliknya bagi
yg berani thd resiko akan dilambil juga TS tsb. Tiap trader itu unik kok,
dan gak usah malu untuk menjadi unik.

2. WATCHLIST. Sebelum kita melakukan BT thd suatu TS, harus kita
tentukan dulu saham-saham apa saja yg akan kita jadikan kandidat
pemilihannya. Misalkan LQ45, Kompas100, JII, SAham2 Energi, atau pilihan
sendiri yg sekiranya nyaman bagi 'belief' nya misalkan Kompas100 dikurangi
saham2 rokok dan perbankan, dll. Dalam AB istilah ini dikenal dgn Watchlist.
Saya pernah melakukan riset kecil2an terhadap suatu TS dgn periode yg sama
dan Watchlist yg berbeda. Misalkan kita akan meng-optimize MaxOpenPositions
(MOP) . Ternyata didapat MOP yg berbeda thd Watchlist yg berlainan sehingga
menghasilkan hasil yg berbeda pula.

Perhatikan table dibawah ini hasil dari BT thd 2 watchlist yg berbeda :

Dengan menggunakan 2 Watchlist yg berbeda (SmartSafe dan LQ45) akan didapat
MOP yg berbeda (4 dan 10) akibatnya CAR dan MDD pun berbeda pula.

Jadi penting untuk menentukan WATCHLIST sebelum memilih TS

3. PROFESI TRADER. Seorang FullTime Trader tentu berbeda dgn
Non-Fulltime Trader yg memiliki profesi lain selain trading. Ketika hendak
memilih TS pastikan bahwa TS tsb cocok dgn keadaan kita. Hal ini dinyatakan
dalam SetTradeDelays(0,0,0,0) bagi FullTime Trader yg menggunakan data
RealTime dan SetTradeDelays(1,1,1,1) bagi Non-FullTime Trader yg (biasanya)
menggunakan delayed data (EOD ).

Jadi pastikan bahwa hal-hal diatas sudah dipertimbangkan sebelum memilih
(membeli) TS, lakukan BT terlebih dahulu agar hasilnya terukur dan objektif.

Salam belajar,

Husni

11 Mei 2011

hot target : ANTM dan JSMR

ini chart JSMR.
ANTM sila lihat posting sebelumnya :))

10 Mei 2011

TOTL sudah tembus. akankan volume konfirm?

Siap - siap :))

09 Mei 2011

Tomorrow plan : ENRG

dare enough for ENRG?

PGAS sell 50%

Mission 1 complete.

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